Friday, January 20, 2017

The Esta Manthos Indian motorcycle collection has a sled! The mid 40's Eliason company used Indian motors

how to analyze a problem... the obvious conclusions inexperienced desk jockeys arrive at, or the thoughtful scientific logical method of cause and effect - using WW2 bombers

During WWII the Army wanted to minimize bomber losses to enemy fire.

The desk jockeys safe at home researched where bombers tend to get hit, intending to recommend  re-enforcing the parts of the airplane that get hit the most would result in more planes making it back

They found that when American planes came back from engagements over Europe, they were covered in bullet holes. But the damage wasn’t uniformly distributed across the aircraft. There were more bullet holes in the fuselage, none in the engines.

The red dots show where bombers were hit the most, so they told the army and  plane manufactures to put more armor on those sections.

Problem?
 You don’t want your planes to get shot down by enemy fighters,
Solution
  so you armor them.
Problem?
  But armor makes the plane heavier, and heavier planes are less maneuverable and use more fuel.         Armoring the planes too much is a problem;
  armoring the planes too little is a problem.
Solution
  Somewhere in between there’s an optimum.
  You have a team of geniuses (Statistical Research Group) in New York City is to figure out where that optimum is. Exactly how much more armor belonged on those parts of the plane? That was what they came to Wald for.

Frederick Mosteller, who would later found Harvard’s statistics department, was there.
Leonard Savage, the pioneer of decision theory
Norbert Wiener, the MIT mathematician and the creator of cybernetics, dropped by from time to time. Milton Friedman, the future Nobelist in economics, was often the fourth-smartest person in the room.
The smartest person in the room was usually Abraham Wald, and he had left Romania because the Nazis wanted to kill all Jewish people.

 It wasn’t the answer they got. The armor, said Wald, doesn’t go where the bullet holes are. It goes where the bullet holes aren’t: on the engines.

- how did you obtain that data?

- well, we looked at every bomber returning from a raid, marked the damages on the airframe on a sheet and collected the sheets from all allied air bases over months. What you see is the result of hundreds of those sheets.

- and your conclusion?

- well, the red dots are where the bombers were hit. So let’s enforce those parts because they are most exposed to enemy fire.

- no. the red dots are where a bomber can take a hit and return. The bombers that took a hit to the ailerons, the engines or the cockpit never made it home. That’s why they are absent in your data. The blank spots are exactly where you have to enforce the airframe, so those bombers can return.

He got strange looks, so he made it even simpler for the military to understand (if they were smart, they wouldn't be in the military, see (and I'm a vet, I know what I'm talking about, smart people go out and create wealth, the rest of the people either go in the military, or remain broke))

If you go to the recovery room at the hospital, you’ll see a lot more people with bullet holes in their legs than people with bullet holes in their chests. But that’s not because people don’t get shot in the chest; it’s because the people who get shot in the chest don’t recover.

BTW: You can see the result of this research today. This is the exact reason the A-10 has the pilot sitting in a titanium armor bathtub and has it’s engines placed high and shielded.

https://medium.com/@penguinpress/an-excerpt-from-how-not-to-be-wrong-by-jordan-ellenberg-664e708cfc3d#.96xlu66m9
https://dieselpunkisdad.tumblr.com/post/156075043378/survivorship-bias

Abraham Wald was home schooled until college. No wonder he was brilliant, he never went to USA public schools run by the Dept Of Education.

Being a religious Jew, he did not attend school on Saturdays, as was required at the time by the Hungarian school system, and was thus home-schooled by his parents until college. His parents were quite knowledgeable and competent as teachers.

In 1928 he graduated in mathematics from the King Ferdinand I University.
In 1927, he entered graduate school at the University of Vienna, from which he graduated in 1931 with a Ph.D. in mathematics, Menger, the great mathematician mentored him.

Despite Wald's brilliance, he could not obtain a university position, because of Austrian discrimination against Jews.
 However, Oskar Morgenstern created a position for Wald in economics.
When the Nazis invaded Austria in 1938, the discrimination against Jews intensified. In particular, Wald and his family were persecuted as Jews.

Wald was able to immigrate to the United States, at the invitation of the Cowles Commission for Research in Economics, to work on econometrics research.

His family, all but a single brother, would later die in Auschwitz, the extermination camp.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Wald

The official name for the people inside the apartment was the Statistical Research Group, a cabal of geniuses assembled at the request of the White House and made up of people who would go on to compete for and win Nobel Prizes. The SRG was an extension of Columbia University, and they dealt mainly with statistical analysis. The Philadelphia Computing Section, another group made up entirely of women mathematicians, worked six days a week at the University of Pennsylvania on ballistics tables. Other groups with different specialties were tied to Harvard, Princeton, Brown and others, 11 in all, each a leaf at the end of a new branch of the government created to help defeat the Axis – the Department of War Math.

https://youarenotsosmart.com/2013/05/23/survivorship-bias/

Mephistopheles, the last car to set the world land speed record on public roads

the Chicago Museum of Science and Industry extensively damaged the Spirit of America when they had it on loan from Craig Breedlove, and they didn't fess up about it, so he's sueing them, and the lawsuit was just given the greenlight by a federal judge.

the Museum of Science and Industry contacted Breedlove and requested him to loan the vehicle to it for an exhibition in 1965 (that's right, over 50 years ago). The two parties made an oral agreement, with conditions of the loan being:

the Spirit of America would not be shown commercially anywhere other than at the Museum without Breedlove’s prior written approval;

the Spirit of America would be made available in the event that a motion picture about the record runs of the vehicle was going to be made; and

in the event that the Spirit of America was to be removed from exhibition, it would returned to Mr. Breedlove at his request.

 When it was returned to him in 2015, he discovered that it had been damaged, reports the Chicago Tribune.

Damage included exterior panels that no longer fit, stretched intake duct mountings for the jet engine and graffiti where schoolchildren carved their initials in the aluminum finish, the lawsuit said.

In addition, Breedlove said the vehicle’s frame had been cut and “unprofessionally” rewelded, and the driver’s seat was missing. The car was taken to a professional restoration shop, which estimated repair costs at $395,000.

Other missing parts included water, oil and fuel tanks and the Spirit’s historic turnaround dolly.

Previously the court wasn't convinced that Breedlove had a claim, and then, he shoved it to them with the documents that listed the standards and best practices from the American Association of Museums (which the Museum of Science and Industry is part of).

That, apparently, was what the judge needed to see to let the museum get taken to court.

Steven Young, a Los Angeles-based attorney representing Breedlove, said Monday the AAM standards "made clearer to the court" that the museum was negligent in its handling of the vehicle. "They didn't live up to museum standards," Young said.

"Stewardship is the careful, sound and responsible management of that which is entrusted to a museum's care. Possession of collections incurs legal, social and ethical obligations to provide proper physical storage, management and care for the collections and associated documentation, as well as proper intellectual control."

http://jalopnik.com/former-land-speed-record-holder-to-sue-museum-for-fucki-1791067864
http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ct-jet-car-breedlove-0110-biz-20170109-story.html

1967 through 1969 Camaro option A67 - Folding Rear Seat

Thursday, January 19, 2017

be careful about your volume, it's probably not loud enough. Turn it up, and enjoy



these are the Don Fezell collection leaving the tent at the auction today. He really had the coolest collection of pure muscle cars http://justacarguy.blogspot.com/2017/01/probably-best-collection-of-muscle-cars.html

the Range Rover downhill craziness over the route of the skiing " Inferno Murren "

Guy Newmark’s Porsche 356 has been driven daily for the past four decades – which is how the legendary model has managed to hit one million miles

Beck and the double supercharged beast

Hover bike is a go,

In their younger days. 1974


when they were young and wild and free.

With the help of an irreverent young sidekick, a bank robber gets his old gang back together to organize a daring new heist.

 Seven years after a daring bank robbery involving an anti-tank gun used to blow open a vault, the robbery team temporarily puts aside their mutual suspicions to repeat the crime after they are unable to find the loot from the original heist, hidden behind a school chalkboard. The hardened artilleryman and his flippant, irresponsible young sidekick are the two wild cards in the deck of jokers

Thunderbolt and Lightfoot... if you want to watch a Jeff Bridges Clint Eastwood buddy movie with George Kennedy and Geoffrey Lewis... and those two died in the last two years, and who knows how much longer Clint or Jeff have... they are OLD (Clint 87, Jeff 68)

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0072288/




old Jags are curvy beasts





probably out to get into shenanigans!

Yellow cabs are rapidly dying off in NYC, down 27% since 2010


there are now about 3 times as many Uber, Lyft, and limo services as yellow cabs.

Overall, there are more than 60,000 so-called "black cars"—NYC-speak for a for-hire vehicle that must be summoned by some sort of dispatcher or app—roaming the streets of the five boroughs, according to city data. Uber vehicles make up the largest percentage of that, with around 46,000 of those. There are just 13,687 yellow cabs in the city.

Taxis made an average of 336,737 trips per day
 Uber-affiliated cars alone averaged 226,046 trips per day
 Lyft-affilated vehicles averaged 35,908 daily rides that same month,
Via racked up an average of 21,698 trips per day,
 Juno rang in 20,426,
 VW-backed Gett averaged 7,227.

The value of taxi medallions, which give drivers the right to drive a yellow cab in the city, has taken a precipitous dive, at the peak of their value in 2014 a NYC taxi medallion was worth around $1.3 million before ride-hailing services began to arrive on the scene; today, they are listed for as little as $250,000.

John Hertz, the founder of Hertz car rental company, started the Yellow Cab Company in Chicago in 1915. Yellow became the official color of New York’s medallion taxis in 1967.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/15/nyregion/yellow-cab-long-a-fixture-of-city-life-is-for-many-a-thing-of-the-past.html
http://www.thedrive.com/news/7005/ubers-outnumber-taxis-by-more-than-3-to-1-in-new-york-city

the value of a collectible car, like a McLaren, is relative to the number that aren't wrecked... and the value of McLaren's just went up at 4:45 pm last night


If you want to see the effect that putting everything on line has, look at http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3895910/McLaren-sports-car-destroyed-four-vehicle-crash-Los-Angeles.html who went through everything on that guys Facebook to tell you who he is, where he lives, and what he does.






Thanks Doug!

Cool artwork of David Lozeau

what caused the transmission control module to fail on the new Chevy Silverado?


about one year old.


huh... well, must be something we can figure out, couldn't be the good ol 666!

I told him he should have bought a Dodge 

Hoverbike WIP 6 by Sunder-59

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Mickey's roadster racers in Disney Junior’s new animated series


Mickey and the Roadster Racers takes the gang and their unique transforming cars on humorous high-spirited races around the globe and back home in Hot Dog Hills.

Legendary NASCAR drivers Jimmie Johnson, Danica Patrick, and Jeff Gordon have zoomed into the recording studio to lend their voices to new characters

The characters may be racing around exotic locales like Paris and Hawai’i, but wherever Mickey and friends find themselves in Mickey and the Roadster Racers, the themes of sportsmanship, teamwork, loyalty, and friendship are always strong. “We really want to continue the heritage of Mickey being the most positive, optimistic character,” Seidenburg says.





The series premieres this Sunday, January 15, in a special simulcast on Disney Junior and Disney Channel at 9 a.m. EST.





https://d23.com/gear-up-for-the-brand-new-mickey-and-the-roadster-racers/

the art of Ballerio Osvaldo (1870/ 1942).

Illustrated catalogues of tyres for velocipedes, motorcycles and cars in 1904. Cover in colour by Osvaldo Ballerio. The catalogue was printed in Milan by Stabilimento TIpo-Litografico G.B. Virtuani & C. in Via Stella,

cool video Dodge trucks rolled out for Thanksgiving

The Duemila Route (2000 Wheels) collection, once the pride of Italian private security magnate Luigi Compiano, was seized by Italy and sent to auction in forfeit of unpaid taxes. The largest single automotive collection ever offered for auction in Europe


The collection was the property of Italian Luigi Compiano and was confiscated by the Italian Government to recoup around €14 million owed in back taxes.

Compiano was quite the Porsche fan – he had more than 70 examples – as well as over 60 Jaguars, nearly 50 Ferraris, and dozens of Lancias, Alfa Romeos, and Maseratis.

430 cars, 150 motorcycles, 60 boats and racing hydrofoils, 117 bicycles, bobsleds,







http://www.inautonews.com/auction-sees-confiscated-collection-fetch-54-million
http://newatlas.com/2016-duemila-route-boys-toys-collection-auction/45987/

for the prices of the most desireable cars: http://newatlas.com/2016-duemila-route-rmsothebys-boys-toys-auction-top50-car-sales-report/46661/

the Ascari

When you need a new gymkhana video, and KB is busy with other things, take a look at Romanian 2 time rally champ Simone Tempestini



Ford’s Craiova plant in Romania has been producing the Ford Transit Connect, the B-Max compact minivan and will start building the new Ford EcoSport next year. It’s also one of the main production locations of the company’s award winning 1.0-liter EcoBoost engine. To properly celebrate on December 1st both the National Day of Romania and the plant’s fortieth anniversary, they prepared a hugely entertaining Gymkhana-inspired video.

http://www.inautonews.com/video-ken-block-has-a-worthy-gymkhana-heir-in-romania

awww, kids getting ready to tour the world, and bring their dog along

Been a LONG time since I posted an Autocar!


And it's a COE, and a hauler/transporter of cool cars too

http://swarfs.tumblr.com/image/156017702634

heaters... ain't it the truth?!!

in the booth

something shady going on here... from last Friday's post about a weird looking Mustang


So this weird 64 or 65 Mustang was running off from a race with the broken nose section of a GT 40 because Bob McLean crashed and died... just looking at the weird spoiler on the trunk, the weird stripes over the spoiler... and you quickly get to wondering just what oddball was driving this car.

but Marc noticed a small strange detail... the license plate!

It's not an ordinary registration plate, it's some thing used for delivery of cars, not on a transporter.

Automotive business plates, 1954-1970 
 Transporters are either in the business of moving or delivering vehicles, or in a business where moving or delivering vehicles is incidental to the primary activity. These plates allowed them to drive otherwise unregistered vehicles on the street rather than have to load them onto a truck or trailer. A typical application would be for driving freshly-imported vehicles from the docks to a storage lot a short distance away.  https://www.ricksplates.com/maryland/mddealer.htm

This morbid sicko taking off from the race with the nose pieces of a dead guys GT 40 was probably borrowing a car from a car dealership where he worked, maybe it was on the used car lot, and that is why it's got decals on it calling it a SS GT. There is a short haired male passenger in the front seat too

https://revslib.stanford.edu/catalog/ss617jt2419

the series of photos is in the bottom half on the page https://revslib.stanford.edu/?f%5Bphotographer_ssi%5D%5B%5D=Stanley+Rosenthall&omit_keys%5B%5D=q&omit_keys%5B%5D=search_field&omit_keys%5B%5D=qt&omit_keys%5B%5D=page&page=7&per_page=100&q=12+hours+sebring+1966


the espresso run

Ford GT40 Class – 2016 Pebble Beach Concours d’Elegance